Fed at Crossroads of Modern-Day Maestro and Arthur Burns Redux

History offers a cautionary parallel. During the dot-com boom of the 1990s, then-Fed Chairman Alan Greenspan correctly argued that rapid productivity gains would help restrain inflation. But the central bank did not slash rates. Initially, it just held them steady. By the end of the decade, however, the Fed raised them sharply as investment surged and the economy accelerated. Lakshman Achuthan, COO and co-founder at ECRI, discusses why he felt the inflation cycle was beginning an upward trend pre-Iran war and why he anticipates it will continue.