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Goldman Hikes Oil Forecasts Again as Hormuz Shock Builds

Daan Struyven, Goldman Sachs Co-Head of Global Commodities Research, joins Bloomberg Businessweek Daily to discuss his team's latest oil outlook. Struyven and his team upgraded Brent to $90/barrel by the fourth quarter, citing lower Persian Gulf production, and ongoing Strait of Hormuz disruption. They now assume a normalization in Gulf exports by the end of June (vs. a prior forecast of mid-May) and see a slower recovery for Gulf production. However, a global recession is not in the team's base case unless the strait remains mostly closed in a "severely adverse" scenario. Struyven speaks with Carol Massar and Tim Stenovec.

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Bloomberg

Sergey Brin Sparked a Political War to Influence California

Eliyahu Kamisher reports on the latest in the California's race for governor and Sergey Brin's role. It was late in the evening at a Christmas party hosted by crypto titan Chris Larsen featuring singer Janelle Monáe and a towering abominable snowman with glowing red eyes when Brin and his partner, Gerelyn Gilbert-Soto, confronted Newsom about a new proposal to tax billionaires in California, according to people who've spoken with the governor. Such a levy could hit Brin's stake in Alphabet Inc. and his $272.6 billion fortune. Newsom, who opposes the wealth tax, was still telling people about the lengthy exchange at the party months later, complaining of a lingering cold the pair had given him, according to the people, who asked not to be named discussing private conversations with the governor.

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