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Fed Rate Hike 'Highly Unlikely,' Citi's Kate Moore Says

Citi Wealth Chief Investment Officer Kate Moore discusses the recent market pricing that reflects a 50% chance of a Federal Reserve rate hike by October. Speaking on "Bloomberg Open Interest," Moore notes that Citi's consistent view over the past six months has been that the market was too optimistic about multiple rate cuts in 2026. However, recent shifts have swung expectations too far toward a potential rate increase rather than a cut.

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Bloomberg

How the Iran War Could Impact Merchandise Trade Growth

World Trade Organization Chief Economist Robert Staiger discusses the impact of the ongoing conflict in the Middle East on trade. Speaking on Bloomberg Television, he says the WTO was already predicting a fall in merchandise trade from 4.6% in 2025 to 1.9% in 2026, but the effect of the war on energy prices could lower the growth further. "The growth rate would be 1.4% that we're predicting in 2026," Staiger says. He also talks about the impact of the Iran war on services trade.

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