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Bloomberg

Goldman's Kaplan on Warsh as Fed Chair, Rates and AI

Robert Kaplan, Goldman Sachs vice chair and former president of the Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, expects Kevin Warsh to be an "excellent" Fed chair. Speaking with Julie Fine, Kaplan also discusses the shift in market expectations over the past eight weeks, from anticipating a rate cut later in the year to now considering a possible rate increase or no change due to persistent inflation and elevated oil prices.

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Bloomberg

Retail's K-Shaped Economy

Inflation is exposing a major divide in the US economy according to Citi Retailing and Hardlines Analyst Steven Zaccone, He joins Bloomberg Open Interest to explain why wealthy consumers keep spending while lower-income shoppers struggle with rising gas and living costs. From Walmart and BJ's to Williams-Sonoma and AutoZone, we look at the retail winners and losers in today's "K-shaped" economy.

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Bloomberg

Traders Bet Warsh's Fed Will Hike Rates by December

Bond traders are fully pricing in an interest-rate hike by the Federal Reserve this year, a sign of conviction in the market that incoming Chair Kevin Warsh will need to move quickly to combat inflation. Traders boosted their bets for higher rates on Friday after Fed Governor Christopher Waller said he supports making clear the central bank's next interest-rate move is just as likely to be an increase as a cut. Interest-rate swaps imply that the market sees the Fed's benchmark rate at least 25 basis points higher by the end of 2026. It's a complete turnaround from earlier this year, when President Trump's selection of Warsh to lead the Fed inspired Wall Street to bet on several rate reductions in 2026. Traders quickly re-calibrated those wagers after the US and Israel attacked Iran in late February. For more on the inflation outlook, we speak with Kathy Bostjancic, Senior Vice President & Chief Economist at Nationwide.

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