Bitcoin faces race to avoid red close for 2025

Bitcoin is on track to end 2025 in negative territory unless prices stage a late recovery.

Analysts say BTC must rise by roughly 6.24% to finish the year higher.

The threshold is based on Bitcoin’s yearly open near $93,374.

Market commentator Puckrin said the window for recovery is rapidly closing.

Three days for Bitcoin to recover and close up on the year.

Puckrin said.

If not, this will be the first post-halving year we close in the red.

Puckrin added.

Bitcoin surged to an all-time high above $125,000 in October.

The rally stalled days later after a sharp and historic market crash.

Since the peak, Bitcoin has fallen roughly 30%.

Prices found a local bottom near $80,000 in NovemberThe decline has sparked debate over whether the bull market has ended.

Some analysts argue the pullback is a normal consolidation phase.

Others warn the downturn could extend into 2026.

Attention has shifted toward macroeconomic conditions and liquidity trends.

Bitcoin has traded below its 365-day moving average since November.

The break marked a loss of the structural uptrend that began in 2023.

Risk assets typically benefit from lower interest rate environments.

The US Federal Reserve delivered three rate cuts during 2025.

However, forward guidance from policymakers has remained uncertain.

There is no risk-free path for policy.

Jerome Powell said.

His comments cast doubt on further rate cuts in early 2026.

CME FedWatch data shows limited expectations for January easing.

Only 18.8% of investors currently anticipate a January rate cut.

Analysts say renewed liquidity would be critical for a Bitcoin rebound.

Without support, BTC may close 2025 with its first post-halving annual loss.

At the time of reporting, Bitcoin price was $89,096.81.