Trump Greenland acquisition odds rise on crypto prediction markets

Odds that Donald Trump could acquire Greenland before 2027 have climbed sharply on crypto-based prediction platforms amid rising US-EU tensions.

The contract titled “Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?” rose to 22% on Polymarket, up from 8% at the start of the year.

More than $14 million has been wagered on the outcome, making it one of the largest active markets on the platform.

Polymarket operates on the Polygon blockchain, highlighting growing use of crypto markets for geopolitical forecasting.

By contrast, odds on Kalshi, a federally regulated US prediction market, remained broadly stable at 46%.

Traders are also betting on the likelihood of new US tariffs linked to Greenland-related disputes.

Market data shows odds exceeding 30% for fresh tariffs on Denmark, Finland and France starting next month.

Political tensions between the United States and the European Union have intensified as the dispute escalates.

Greenland’s leadership has repeatedly rejected any proposal to transfer control of the territory to the United States.

“We would choose Denmark over the U.S.,”