What happened with Bitcoin inflows to exchanges recently?

Bitcoin inflows to centralised exchanges spiked to around 6,100 BTC on March 16, the highest level since February 20. This coincided with Bitcoin rallying to about $76,000. Rising inflows often signal that traders are preparing to sell.

Why do rising Bitcoin exchange inflows matter for traders?

When large amounts of Bitcoin move to exchanges, it typically indicates potential selling pressure. Traders usually transfer BTC to exchanges to sell or swap into stablecoins. This can lead to short-term price pullbacks if supply increases.

What did CryptoQuant say about the latest Bitcoin inflows?

CryptoQuant’s head of research Julio Moreno noted that large deposits made up 63% of total inflows, the highest since October 2025. He said such spikes have historically been linked to increased selling pressure. This suggests caution despite the recent rally.

Why is Bitcoin struggling around the $75,000 level?

Bitcoin is facing resistance near $75,000, which aligns with the lower band of the “realised price” for active traders. This level often acts as resistance in weaker market conditions. Recent price attempts have failed multiple times at this level.

What is Bitcoin’s realised price and why does it matter?

The realised price represents the average break-even cost of holders or traders. When Bitcoin approaches this level, many traders may sell to lock in profits or break even. This makes it a key resistance or support indicator in onchain analysis.

How does the $84,700 realised price level affect Bitcoin outlook?

The broader realised price sits around $84,700, which previously acted as resistance in October and January. If Bitcoin breaks above $75,000, this higher level could become the next major resistance. It suggests limited upside without strong momentum.

How is the Federal Reserve impacting Bitcoin right now?

The spike in inflows comes ahead of a Federal Reserve rate decision, which can influence crypto markets. Interest rate expectations affect liquidity and risk appetite. Markets currently expect rates to remain unchanged, but future signals could shift sentiment.

What are markets expecting from the Fed meeting?

CME futures show a 98.9% probability that interest rates will stay the same this month. However, there is speculation the Fed may signal no rate cuts this year due to inflation and geopolitical tensions. That could be bearish for risk assets like crypto.

Cryptocurrency

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Bitcoin inflows spike as BTC tests $75K resistance

Written by Brie CarterPublished Mar 18, 2026, 12:00 AM

Bitcoin inflows to centralised exchanges surged to 6,100 BTC on March 16, the highest since February, as the asset approached resistance near $75,000.

The spike coincided with Bitcoin’s roughly 12% monthly rally to a six-week high near $76,000, raising concerns that traders may be preparing to sell into strength.

“Historically, spikes in large deposits to exchanges have been associated with increased selling pressure,”

Said CryptoQuant head of research, Julio Moreno.

Large inflows accounted for 63% of total deposits, the highest share since October 2025, suggesting increased activity from bigger holders potentially positioning for distribution.

The move comes ahead of the Federal Reserve’s rate decision, with markets pricing a 98.9% chance of no change, though policymakers may signal fewer or no rate cuts this year amid inflation and geopolitical risks, and following the move Bitcoin was unchanged at $74,020.

Moreno noted that Bitcoin faces near-term resistance at $75,000, a level tied to the lower band of traders’ realised price, which has historically acted as a ceiling during weaker market phases.

The broader realised price sits around $84,700, marking a higher resistance level if Bitcoin breaks out, after repeated rejections near $75,000 on major exchanges including Coinbase.

At the time of reporting, Bitcoin price was $74,264.12.