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US Treasury Yields Rise to 2026 Highs With Oil Sparking Fed Bets

US Treasury yields rose to their highest levels of the year as the threat of escalation in the Iran war sent oil prices higher and boosted bets that the Federal Reserve could raise interest rates as soon as next week. The yield on two-year notes, which are particularly sensitive to expectations for Fed policy, climbed on Thursday by about 6 basis points to around 4.36%, reaching the highest since early 2025. Charles Tan, CIO at American Century Investments, discusses fixed income crosscurrents and the Fed.

Read more: US Treasury Yields Rise to 2026 Highs With Oil Sparking Fed Bets
Bloomberg

American Airlines Moves on Earnings; Lockheed Martin Up on FY Guidance | Stock Movers

On this episode of Stock Movers: - American Airlines (AAL) shares are moving as it cut 2026 earnings guidance for the second time in three months amid persistently high fuel prices because of the war in Iran. - T-Mobile (TMUS) shares are falling after the telecom company reported second-quarter revenue that missed expectations. However, the report also showed Postpaid net accounts for the second quarter that beat the average analyst estimate. - Lockheed Martin (LMT) shares jumped after the military contractor raised its full-year outlook for earnings per share to a range above the average analyst estimate.

Read more: American Airlines Moves on Earnings; Lockheed Martin Up on FY Guidance | Stock Movers
Bloomberg

How Should Prediction Markets Like Kalshi and Polymarket Be Regulated?

In this video, we explain how prediction markets work, why states and the Commodity Futures Trading Commission disagree over who has authority to regulate them, how courts have responded to the growing number of lawsuits, and why the answers could reshape the future of sports betting, event contracts, and prediction markets in the US. (Produced by Andrew Satter; Executive Producer Josh Block). Original filename: premarkbn.mxf

Read more: How Should Prediction Markets Like Kalshi and Polymarket Be Regulated?
Bloomberg

Trump Allies See Path to Oust Fed Governor in SVB Review

Some Trump administration officials and allies have privately discussed whether an external review of the 2023 failure of Silicon Valley Bank could provide a legal basis to remove Fed Governor Michael Barr from the central bank's board, according to people familiar with the matter. Alister Bull reports on Bloomberg Television.

Read more: Trump Allies See Path to Oust Fed Governor in SVB Review

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