Applied Materials shares soar on blowout forecast driven by AI computing "super cycle"

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Applied Materials shares soar on blowout forecast driven by AI computing "super cycle"
Applied Materials shares soar on blowout forecast driven by AI computing "super cycle"
Brie Carter
Written by Brie Carter
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Applied Materials (NASDAQ:AMAT) shares surged 11.7% in premarket trading Friday, leading a broad rally across the semiconductor sector after the company issued a second-quarter forecast that shattered Wall Street estimates.

The optimistic outlook signals that the artificial intelligence infrastructure build-out is entering a high-velocity phase, consuming global memory supplies and forcing chipmakers to invest heavily in new production capacity.

The largest U.S. semiconductor equipment manufacturer projected second-quarter revenue of approximately $7.65 billion (plus or minus $500 million), far exceeding the $7.01 billion average analyst estimate.

The company also forecast adjusted profit of $2.64 per share, well above the $2.28 expected by the market.

The surge in orders comes as hyperscale data centers and AI processor manufacturers scramble for high-bandwidth memory.

HBM, critical for training large language models, requires three to four times more wafer starts per bit than standard DRAM, creating a massive tailwind for Applied’s etching and deposition tools.

Industry group SEMI recently bolstered this bullish narrative, forecasting that sales of wafer-fab equipment will rise 9% to $126 billion in 2026 and hit $135 billion in 2027.

RBC analysts noted that Applied Materials’ "leadership position in DRAM, Advanced Logic, and Packaging" makes it the primary beneficiary of this GenAI-driven spending cycle.

For the first fiscal quarter ended January 25, 2026, Applied reported revenue of $7.01 billion, beating estimates of $6.88 billion despite a slight 2% year-over-year decline.

Adjusted EPS for the quarter was $2.38, comfortably ahead of the $2.21 consensus.

The company’s stock is now up approximately 28% year-to-date, doubling the 14% gain of the Philadelphia Semiconductor Index.

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