AAON misses profit estimates as data center costs weigh on expansion

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 AAON misses profit estimates as data center costs weigh on expansion
AAON misses profit estimates as data center costs weigh on expansion
Liezl Gambe
Written by Liezl Gambe
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AAON (NASDAQ:AAON) reported fourth-quarter net income of $32 million on Monday, falling short of Wall Street expectations as the company absorbed significant costs related to its rapid capacity expansion.

The Tulsa, Oklahoma-based manufacturer posted earnings of 39 cents per share, trailing the 45-cent consensus estimate from analysts surveyed by Zacks Investment Research.

Despite the earnings miss, revenue for the quarter surged 42.5% to $424.2 million, comfortably beating analyst projections.

The top-line growth was primarily powered by the company’s BASX-branded data center equipment, which saw sales skyrocket 138.8% year-over-year.

For the full year 2025, AAON reported total revenue of $1.44 billion and a net profit of $107.6 million, or $1.29 per share.

The divergence between record sales and lower-than-expected profits was largely attributed to margin compression.

Gross margin for the quarter softened to 25.9% as the company navigated unabsorbed fixed costs at its new Memphis, Tennessee facility and continued disruptions from a multi-year ERP system rollout.

AAON’s year-end backlog represents a 110.9% increase over 2024, with data center-related orders leading the surge.

Looking ahead, the company introduced 2026 guidance forecasting revenue growth of 18% to 20%.

Management expects gross margins to rebound to a range of 29% to 31% as capacity utilization improves and the Memphis facility reaches optimal efficiency.

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