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An anonymous trader on 4chan who accurately identified Bitcoin’s October 2025 all-time high has returned with a fresh forecast projecting a $250,000 peak in 2026.
The trader previously outlined a time-based cycle model in December 2023 that focused on historical symmetry rather than a specific price target.
That model suggested roughly 1,064 days from bear market lows to cycle highs, followed by around 364 days of decline.
Using this framework, the poster pinpointed October 6, 2025, as the likely cycle top, which aligned closely with Bitcoin’s peak before a sharp pullback days later.
The precision of that earlier call has given renewed attention to the trader’s latest projection despite growing scepticism in the market.
In the new post, the trader argues that Bitcoin’s broader long-term cycle structure remains intact rather than broken.
According to the analysis, the current weakness represents a reset phase ahead of another expansion leg into 2026.
Past bull markets have often included multi-month corrections and demand resets before final parabolic advances.
Structural factors supporting Bitcoin remain in place, including reduced supply growth following the halving.
Institutional infrastructure such as exchange-traded funds and payment rails continues to expand despite cooling speculative interest.
Historically, some of Bitcoin’s strongest rallies have emerged during periods of widespread doubt rather than optimism.
The $250,000 target is presented as a continuation of historical cycle mechanics rather than a sentiment-driven prediction.
Regardless of the outcome, the forecast underscores how short-term bearish signals often appear before long-term trends conclude.
Bitcoin currently sits in a zone of uncertainty as investors weigh weakening momentum against longer-term structural support.
At the time of reporting, Bitcoin price was $89,154.91.