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Aave models $230M Kelp exploit fallout
Aave models $230M Kelp exploit fallout

Aave models $230M Kelp exploit fallout

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Aave’s risk manager has outlined two potential bad debt scenarios following the Kelp DAO exploit, with losses ranging from $123.7 million to $230.1 million depending on how they are distributed.

The incident began after attackers stole 116,500 rsETH tokens worth $293 million and used them as collateral on Aave to borrow wrapped Ether, triggering liquidity stress across the protocol.

The fallout has already driven nearly $10 billion in withdrawals from Aave, underscoring how a single exploit can cascade through decentralised finance systems.

Under the first scenario, losses would be spread across Ethereum mainnet and layer 2 networks, resulting in lower bad debt but risking a 15% depeg in rsETH relative to Ether.

The second scenario concentrates losses on layer 2 networks such as Arbitrum and Mantle, increasing bad debt but better protecting the mainnet ecosystem.

LlamaRisk said Aave could also deploy its Umbrella security model and tap its roughly $181 million treasury to help absorb potential losses.

Kelp DAO said it is still assessing the exploit, which involved compromised nodes on a LayerZero bridge, while working with partners to determine the best recovery path.

At the time of reporting, Aave price was $92.92.

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