The White House is set to review a new package of prediction market measures submitted by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission, signalling increased regulatory focus on event-linked derivatives.
The proposal aims to clarify how contracts tied to real-world outcomes such as elections, economic indicators and geopolitical events should be structured and supervised.
The CFTC’s measures are intended to bring more consistency to how event-based contracts are treated across regulated futures exchanges, specialised platforms and blockchain-based markets.
Prediction markets have gained traction among traders seeking high-conviction bets on real-world events, with both centralised platforms and decentralised protocols experimenting with different contract designs.
Some crypto-native platforms use decentralised order books or curated trading models that settle in digital assets such as Bitcoin.
Regulators have increasingly warned that certain event contracts could resemble unregistered gambling or securities products if they fall outside existing derivatives rules.
The White House review could ultimately determine whether the US adopts clearer pathways for compliant prediction markets or tighter restrictions on the types of event-linked contracts allowed.
At the time of reporting, Bitcoin price was $72,839.14.