United Statesmonetary

Federal Reserve Vice Chair for Supervision Michelle Bowman said, "I would like to have more clarity on the economic impacts from the conflict in the Middle East and the durability of those effects," and thinks it's too soon to judge the inflationary impact from the Iran war. Bowman said Friday at a central banking conference in Iceland that that policymakers need to look through temporary price shocks.

Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City President Jeff Schmid said officials should make it clear they're willing to do what is needed to achieve price stability. "We must continue to signal our commitment to price stability and our willingness to take the actions necessary to achieve our mandate," Schmid said Friday at a conference in Reykjavík, Iceland.

Federal Reserve Bank of New York President John Williams says the answer to whether a lift in productivity will ultimately impact interest rates and the central bank's policymaking is, "unsurprisingly, it depends." Williams spoke Thursday at a central banking conference in Iceland.

Gregory Peters, co-chief investment officer at PGIM Credit, says he sees "shock, after shock, after shock" in markets. "That leads to higher inflation," Peters says, adding this has an impact on central banks' interest-rate positioning. He speaks on Bloomberg Television.

Bill Dudley, former New York Fed President and Bloomberg Opinion columnist, examines the effectiveness of Federal Reserve policy and the central bank's credibility on inflation. His opinions are his own.

Bond traders are fully pricing in an interest-rate hike by the Federal Reserve this year, a sign of conviction in the market that incoming Chair Kevin Warsh will need to move quickly to combat inflation. Traders boosted their bets for higher rates on Friday after Fed Governor Christopher Waller said he supports making clear the central bank's next interest-rate move is just as likely to be an increase as a cut. Interest-rate swaps imply that the market sees the Fed's benchmark rate at least 25 basis points higher by the end of 2026. It's a complete turnaround from earlier this year, when President Trump's selection of Warsh to lead the Fed inspired Wall Street to bet on several rate reductions in 2026. Traders quickly re-calibrated those wagers after the US and Israel attacked Iran in late February. For more on the inflation outlook, we speak with Kathy Bostjancic, Senior Vice President & Chief Economist at Nationwide.

David Kelly, chief global strategist at JPMorgan Asset Management, expects that Federal Reserve Chair-Elect Kevin Warsh is likely to vote to hold interest rates steady at next month's meeting while seeking to build consensus with his new colleagues.

UK inflation fell to its lowest rate in more than a year, prompting traders to bet on fewer Bank of England interest-rate hikes even though economists expect price pressures to return. Bloomberg's Sam Unsted reports.

OECD Secretary General Mathias Cormann discusses the impact of the conflict in the Middle East on the global economy, saying the Iran war is putting "downward pressure on growth and upward pressure on inflation." He speaks to Bloomberg's Oliver Crook on the sidelines of a Group of Seven meeting in Paris.

Kim Crawford, global fixed income portfolio manager at JPMorgan Asset Management, and Laura Cooper, global investment strategist and macro credit head at Nuveen, discuss the selloff in global bond markets as a fragile ceasefire between the US and Iran extends past 40 days and a deal to reopen the Strait of Hormuz remains elusive. They speak on Bloomberg Television.