The price outlook for XRP is increasingly tied to the progress of the CLARITY Act in the US Senate, with the next three weeks seen as critical.
XRP is trading around $1.34 after a weak Q1 2026, with its market cap down sharply despite being classified as a digital commodity by regulators.
“April is the narrowest window XRP has had for that to change,”
24/7 Wall St. said, highlighting the urgency of legislative progress.
If the Senate Banking Committee advances the bill in late April, analysts estimate $4 billion to $8 billion in potential ETF inflows, which could push XRP above $1.60.
However, if the bill stalls beyond May, forecasts suggest XRP could fall below $1.20, particularly if broader crypto market conditions weaken.
The legislation is viewed as essential for unlocking institutional capital, as current regulatory clarity is not yet backed by federal law.
The outcome of the Senate process will likely determine whether XRP sees renewed momentum or continues to lag behind the broader market.
At the time of reporting, XRP price was $1.31.