
A White House report found that banning stablecoin yields would have minimal impact on bank lending while imposing significant economic costs on users.
The Council of Economic Advisers estimated that shifting funds from stablecoins into bank deposits would increase total lending by just $2.1 billion, or roughly 0.02% of the $12 trillion loan market.
“Producing lending effects in the hundreds of billions requires simultaneously assuming the stablecoin share sextuples, all reserves shift into segregated deposits, and the Federal Reserve abandons its ample-reserves framework,”
The report said.
Community banks would see even smaller gains, with lending rising by about $500 million, or 0.026%, challenging claims from banking groups that stablecoins materially reduce credit availability.
However, banning yield on stablecoins could result in a net welfare loss of around $800 million per year, as users lose access to interest-like returns on their holdings.
The findings come as lawmakers debate the scope of stablecoin regulation under the GENIUS Act, which already restricts issuers from offering yield, while leaving room for third-party platforms to provide returns.
The proposed CLARITY Act could further define whether stablecoin yields should be broadly restricted or permitted, with progress in the Senate hinging on resolving this key issue.