Cryptopolirisk

Bank of England Governor Andrew Bailey said inflation is expected to rise to "a little over 3.5% by the end of the year" as a direct consequence of the conflict in the Middle East. He was speaking during a press conference following the central bank's decision to keep interest rates on hold with several policymakers saying they might consider future hikes.

Laura Cooper, global investment strategist at Nuveen, says markets are "recalibrating to the risk that we could see persistent energy prices come through." She adds that further pressure is expected in European earnings, as opposed to US earnings, which have surprised expectations. She speaks on Bloomberg Television.

Federal Reserve officials are expected to leave interest rates unchanged on Wednesday, holding the benchmark rate in a range of 3.5% to 3.75% for a third consecutive meeting. Investors will be looking for clues about how long the Fed is willing to maintain its patient posture, as well as what Chair Jerome Powell says about his future at the central bank. Bloomberg's Jill Disis reports.

Ifo President Clemens Fuest says Germany could be "at the beginning of a stagflationary shock" after the institute's expectations index dropped to 83.3 in April from a revised 85.9 the previous month the lowest level since August 2023. He speaks on Bloomberg Television.

Airlines around the world are grounding more planes to cope with the increases in jet-fuel prices. Global capacity for May has been reduced by about 3 percentage points, with all but one of the 20 largest airlines slashing flights, according to data compiled by analytics firm Cirium Ltd. Lufthansa is scrubbing 20,000 uneconomic short-haul flights from its European summer schedule to save on fuel. Earlier in the week, United Airlines slashed its full-year profit forecast due to higher fuel prices caused by war in the Middle East. Bloomberg's Benedikt Kammel breaks down the situation.

As Hungary prepares for parliamentary elections on Sunday, Prime Minister Viktor Orban addressed the nation saying he was the safe bet and that ousting him after 16 years in office would imperil the country. Meanwhile, independent surveys show Peter Magyar's Tisza party opening up a lead. Bloomberg's Oliver Crook reports from Budapest.

Beata Manthey, European equity strategy head at Citi, discusses the outlook for markets amid geopolitical uncertainty in the lead-up to talks between the US and Iran. Speaking on Bloomberg Television, Manthey warns it is "a problem" that the European market is still priced for upgrades. "We are not going back to the world the market has been putting bets on," she adds.

Oil rose a second day after Saudi Arabia said its production capacity has been reduced due to attacks on energy infrastructure, but futures remain on track for their biggest weekly loss since June. According to Saudi Arabia's press agency, the nation's production capacity has been cut by around 600,000 barrels a day. Bloomberg's Anthony di Paola breaks down the situation.

UK Prime Minister Keir Starmer traveled to the Gulf to meet with leaders in the region and discuss efforts to support and uphold the ceasefire between the US and Iran. Bloomberg's James Woolcock breaks down the situation.

Henry Allen, Deutsche Bank macro strategist, discusses the implications of the two-week ceasefire between the US and Iran on markets and oil prices. "We're not seeing the data downgrades we saw back in 2022 when Russia invaded Ukraine and oil was up $120 a barrel," Allen tells Bloomberg Television.