RBA shuns 50-point hike amid global uncertainty

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RBA shuns 50-point hike amid global uncertainty
RBA shuns 50-point hike amid global uncertainty
Brie Carter
Written by Brie Carter
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Reserve Bank of Australia Governor Michele Bullock has defended the board’s decision to eschew a larger 50-basis-point interest rate hike, citing the delicate balance required to curb inflation without jeopardising significant gains in the Australian labour market.

Speaking at a post-meeting press conference, Bullock confirmed that a more aggressive half-percentage-point increase was not mired in official deliberations, despite the "unacceptably high" nature of current price pressures.

The governor noted that while the RBA remains committed to returning the economy’s positive output gap to zero, the global landscape has been complicates by the conflict between Iran and the United States.

The geopolitical volatility has shifted global interest rate expectations and introduced significant uncertainty regarding energy prices and headline inflation.

Addressing the impact of potential energy subsidies, Bullock cautioned that such measures often trigger volatility, causing headline figures to drop before "popping up" later.

The central bank's focus remains firmly on underlying inflation to navigate these distortions.

Bullock also sought to clarify recent communication, dismissing suggestions that Deputy Governor Andrew Hauser's recent podcast appearance was a coordinated signal for the tightening.

Conceding a "learning" for the bank regarding the transparency of scheduled interviews, she emphasised that the board’s independence precludes any individual from "front-running" decisions.

Bullock maintained that the move was not a "front-loading" exercise, leaving the door open for future adjustments should excess demand fail to ease or if inflation expectations become unanchored in the face of sustained oil price shocks.

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