
Chalmers deploys Treasury analysis to quell CGT outcry
Treasurer Jim Chalmers will deploy fresh Treasury analysis at a Bloomberg event to quell an investor outcry over federal budget changes to capital gains tax, arguing the reforms will not damage broader economic investment.
The six-page Treasury briefing reveals the average tax rate on gross capital gains is projected to rise only modestly—from 19.3% to 21.4% over the next decade.
Defending the decision to scrap the 50% CGT discount for indexation and implement a 30% minimum rate on real gains, Treasury asserts the current system overcompensates high-growth assets while distorting investment.
Under the new model, an investor in the top 47% marginal rate achieving a 5.1% annual return on the ASX 200 would face an effective CGT rate of 21.4%.
The changes apply broadly across listed shares, commercial property, and start-ups to prevent investors from using corporate structures to bypass the rules.
The Treasury minimised the broader economic fallout, noting that individuals hold less than 15% of ASX-listed shares, while the tax settings for superannuation funds and foreign investors remain untouched.
Furthermore, small businesses with turnover under $2 million will retain significant concessions.
Addressing international comparisons, Treasury stated Australia’s real-gains model remains competitive with nations like Norway and Denmark, rejecting claims that local rates will become the world's highest.