BHP pivots to Asia amid China trade dispute

BHP (ASX:BHP) is pivoting towards South East Asian markets as a protracted trade dispute with Beijing intensifies.

Data from Bloomberg reveals Chinese port stockpiles have surged to 163.3 million tonnes—a 15% year-on-year increase.

The inventory provides the state-run China Mineral Resources Group significant leverage in price negotiations with the Mike Henry-led miner.

Recent reports indicate CMRG has restricted new seaborne cargoes from BHP's Western Australian operations, demanding lower prices and a shift in settlement currency from US or Australian dollars to the Chinese yuan.

With 80% to 90% of its iron ore traditionally bound for China, BHP is now actively diversifying its customer base.

In February, shipments to China dipped to 81%, the lower end of the historical average, while exports to Vietnam and Indonesia doubled to 4% and 3% respectively.

Industry analysts suggest the shift reflects a broader structural change in regional demand.

Tim Hard, senior vice president at Argus Media, noted that Vietnam and Indonesia are projected to produce a combined 50 million metric tonnes of steel annually by 2027.

This represents a leap from 2007, when the entire South East Asian region produced only 20 million tonnes.

With Indonesian steel production maintaining a compound annual growth rate of 8.1% over the last five years, the region offers a critical strategic buffer for BHP against Chinese market volatility.