
Aurizon reaffirms 2026 guidance despite weather challenges
Aurizon Holdings (ASX:AZJ) has reaffirmed its full-year 2026 earnings guidance despite navigating a complex mix of operational growth and weather-related disruptions.
The rail freight giant reported a 2.6% increase in network volumes across the Central Queensland Coal Network, reaching 173.5 million tonnes for the ten months ended April 30.
While coal volumes saw a modest rise of 0.8% to 158.4 million tonnes, the result was tempered by adverse weather conditions impacting customer mine production during the March quarter.
The bulk and containerised freight sectors demonstrated robust performance; bulk volumes grew 6.7% to 48.4 million tonnes—bolstered by higher grain yields and new contracts—while containerised freight jumped 13.2% to 194,000 TEUs.
The company also addressed challenges within its fuel supply chain, noting that its incident management team was activated in March to ensure uninterrupted diesel delivery across its national footprint.
Although international benchmark pricing and currency fluctuations are expected to create a temporary $10 million negative EBITDA impact in FY26 due to fuel price exposure timing, Aurizon remains confident in its financial trajectory.
The group reaffirmed its underlying EBITDA guidance of $1.68 billion to $1.75 billion, alongside a full-year dividend forecast of 22–23 cents per share.
The steady outlook reflects the company's ability to offset regional track outages and inflationary pressures through diversified growth and rigorous cost-recovery mechanisms.